Tennis · UTR Pro San Diego · 06/10, 00:30

Prediction: Manvydas Balciunas vs Jan Kobierski

Team pages: Manvydas Balciunas · Jan Kobierski

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Manvydas Balciunas Jan Kobierski
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Manvydas Balciunas 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLWWLLL
Jan Kobierski 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manvydas Balciunas 1437 · Jan Kobierski 1475
Manvydas BalciunasJan Kobierski
Our model45%55%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Manvydas BalciunasJan Kobierski
Win %30%30%
Win % · Hard – 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.50.7-1.6
Games (G-P)9.7-129.5-12.4
Aces1.92.1
Double faults3.12.6
1st serve %64.3%57.2%
Break %36.6%37.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manvydas Balciunas

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Sander Jong
M25 Oldenzaal
0-2 4-12 L
21/07 Iannis Miletich
M25 Metzingen
0-2 8-13 L
12/07 Mika Petkovic
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
08/07 Abel Forger
M25 The Hague
1-2 10-16 L
03/07 Abel Forger
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 13-18 L
02/07 Nino Ehrenschneider
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 19-17 W
01/07 Stijn Hofman
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
25/06 Sander Jong
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
23/06 Aryan Lakshmanan
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/06 Nikolai Barsukov
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Jan Kobierski

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/10 Xavier Calvelo
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
02/10 Adam Chodur
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
01/10 Peter Jorniak
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
29/09 Luca Ostovany
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
20/09 Spencer Johnson
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
29/07 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Wels
0-2 5-12 L
15/07 Max Wiskandt
M25 Kramsach
0-2 6-13 L
23/06 David Naharro
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
30/12 Aditya Govila
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
28/12 Stiles Brockett
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
1-2 10-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manvydas Balciunas vs Jan Kobierski?

Our model gives 56% to Manvydas Balciunas, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.