Tennis · WTA Beijing WD · 06/10, 05:00

Prediction: Chan/Kato vs Mihalikova/Nicholls

Team pages: Mihalikova/Nicholls

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Chan/Kato Mihalikova/Nicholls
Estimated games
25.1
Recent form · 10 last
Chan/Kato 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWWLLW
Mihalikova/Nicholls 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chan/Kato 1601 · Mihalikova/Nicholls 1455
Chan/KatoMihalikova/Nicholls
Our model70%30%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chan/Kato (rating 1601 vs 1455).
  • Chan/Kato is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Chan/KatoMihalikova/Nicholls
Win %90%30%
Win % · Hard 90% (10) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.9-0.80.7-1.5
Games (G-P)17.3-13.610.7-12.9
Aces0.11.1
Double faults1.73.1
1st serve %66.7%64%
Break %48.6%58%
Estimated total games (ours) 25.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chan/Kato

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/07 Havlickova/Samson
WTA Prague WD · Hard
1-2 19-22 L
23/07 Falkowska/Smith
WTA Prague WD · Hard
2-1 18-18 W
22/07 Krejcova/Zoldakova
WTA Prague WD · Hard
2-1 19-16 W
19/07 Lumsden/Tang
WTA Athens WD · Hard
2-1 21-19 W
17/07 Chong/Piter
WTA Athens WD · Hard
2-1 19-14 W
16/07 Korneeva/Kudermetova
WTA Athens WD · Hard
2-1 22-13 W
14/07 Argyrokastriti/Nepliy
WTA Athens WD · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
14/03 Haverlag/Santamaria
WTA Austin WD · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/03 Chong/Liang
WTA Austin WD · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
12/03 Corley/Harrison
WTA Austin WD · Hard
2-1 18-16 W

Mihalikova/Nicholls

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Garland/Hsieh
WTA Singapore WD · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
04/09 Kato/Wu
US Open WD · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
25/08 Kozyreva/Lumsden
WTA Monterrey WD · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
16/08 Hsieh/Ostapenko
WTA Cincinnati WD · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
12/08 Siniakova/Zhang
WTA Toronto WD · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
11/08 Mertens/Shnaider
WTA Toronto WD · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
09/08 Routliffe/Sutjiadi
WTA Toronto WD · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
07/08 Bucsa/Chong
WTA Toronto WD · Hard
2-1 22-20 W
02/07 Maleckova/Skoch
Wimbledon WD · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
26/06 Perez/Schuurs
WTA Bad Homburg WD · Grass
0-2 8-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chan/Kato vs Mihalikova/Nicholls?

Our model gives 57% to Chan/Kato, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.