Tennis · WTA Beijing WD · 08/10, 14:30
Prediction: Errani/Paolini vs Dabrowski/Stefani
Team pages: Dabrowski/Stefani
Prediction summary
Winner
Errani/Paolini
Dabrowski/Stefani
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Errani/Paolini
8-2 (W-L)
Dabrowski/Stefani
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Errani/Paolini 1563 · Dabrowski/Stefani 1617
| Errani/Paolini | Dabrowski/Stefani | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dabrowski/Stefani (rating 1563 vs 1617).
- Note: Dabrowski/Stefani makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Errani/Paolini | Dabrowski/Stefani | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.9-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10 | 14-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 74.5% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 52.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Errani/Paolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Boulter/Starodubtseva WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Detiuc/Wu WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Guo/Jiang Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Chong/Tjen WTA Eastbourne WD · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Maduzzi/Paganetti WTA Rome WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Siegemund/Zvonareva WTA Madrid WD · Clay |
1-2 | 16-20 | L |
| 24/04 | Kichenok/Ninomiya WTA Madrid WD · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/04 | Aoyama/Hozumi Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/03 | Siniakova/Townsend WTA Miami WD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/03 | Muhammad/Routliffe WTA Miami WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Dabrowski/Stefani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Eikeri/Gleason WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/10 | Tang/Xu WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Rogers/Zamarripa WTA Sao Paulo WD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/09 | Dang/You WTA Sao Paulo WD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 17/09 | Pereira/Souza WTA Sao Paulo WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Krueger/Montgomery US Open WD · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Jiang/Zhang US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Hozumi/Klepac US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/09 | Errani/Tagger US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Detiuc/Khromacheva US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Errani/Paolini vs Dabrowski/Stefani?
Our model gives 58% to Dabrowski/Stefani, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.