Tennis · WTA Jingshan · 03/10, 06:30
Prediction: Emerson Jones vs Alexandra Shubladze
Team pages: Emerson Jones · Alexandra Shubladze
Prediction summary
Winner
Emerson Jones
Alexandra Shubladze
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Emerson Jones
4-6 (W-L)
Alexandra Shubladze
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emerson Jones 1506 · Alexandra Shubladze 1574
| Emerson Jones | Alexandra Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Shubladze (rating 1506 vs 1574).
- Alexandra Shubladze is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Emerson Jones makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Emerson Jones | Alexandra Shubladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.5 | 13-7.2 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emerson Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Chenting Zhu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Haruka Kaji WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Suzan Lamens US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 11/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Madison Brengle WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
Alexandra Shubladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Sijia Wei WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Jia-Jing Lu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Rina Saigo WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Darya Astakhova WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Gaeul Jang WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/09 | Kristiana Sidorova W35 Shenyang |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Meiling Wang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Yufei Ren W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Tahlia Kokkinis W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/09 | Xinxin Yao W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emerson Jones vs Alexandra Shubladze?
Our model gives 59% to Alexandra Shubladze, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.