Tennis · WTA Jingshan · 01/10, 08:00
Prediction: Aliona Falei vs Kristiana Sidorova
Team pages: Aliona Falei · Kristiana Sidorova
Prediction summary
Winner
Aliona Falei
Kristiana Sidorova
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Aliona Falei
5-5 (W-L)
Kristiana Sidorova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aliona Falei
1–0
Kristiana Sidorova
(1 last)
- 15 Sept2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aliona Falei 1494 · Kristiana Sidorova 1622
| Aliona Falei | Kristiana Sidorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristiana Sidorova (rating 1494 vs 1622).
- Kristiana Sidorova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Aliona Falei 1–0 Kristiana Sidorova (1).
- Note: Aliona Falei makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Aliona Falei | Kristiana Sidorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.9-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.4 | 14-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 75% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Aliona Falei 1 – 0 Kristiana Sidorova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aliona Falei 1–0 Kristiana Sidorova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/22 W15 Sharm El Sheikh | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aliona Falei
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Fangran Tian WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Elena Pridankina US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Urszula Radwanska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Kristina Penickova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Yue Yuan WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Anna Kubareva W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Kristiana Sidorova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Daria Egorova WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Meiqi Guo WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Aruzhan Sagandikova WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 20/09 | Sijia Wei W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Yujia Huang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/09 | Yufei Ren W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 17/09 | Alexandra Shubladze W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/09 | Ya-Yi Yang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Yexin Ma W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Miho Kuramochi W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aliona Falei vs Kristiana Sidorova?
Our model gives 55% to Kristiana Sidorova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.