Tennis · Challenger Bari · 02/10, 16:30
Prediction: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich
Team pages: Matthew William Donald · Martin Krumich
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew William Donald
Martin Krumich
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew William Donald
6-4 (W-L)
Martin Krumich
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matthew William Donald
0–3
Martin Krumich
(3 last)
- 03 Feb0-2 9-13L
- 26 Sept0-2 10-14L
- 20 Sept0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew William Donald 1529 · Martin Krumich 1509
| Matthew William Donald | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Matthew William Donald 0–3 Martin Krumich (3).
- Note: Matthew William Donald makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Matthew William Donald | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.7 | 10.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 3 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 29.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Matthew William Donald 0 – 3 Martin Krumich (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matthew William Donald 0–3 Martin Krumich
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 Challenger Koblenz | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09/25 M25 Pardubice | 0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/09/23 M25 Pardubice | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew William Donald
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/09 | Carles Cordoba Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 07/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Jelle Sels Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Martin Krumich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Dominik Recek M25 Pardubice |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Kacper Knitter Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich?
Our model gives 58% to Martin Krumich, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.