Tennis · Challenger Bari · 01/10, 10:30
Prediction: Pierluigi Basile vs Martin Krumich
Team pages: Pierluigi Basile · Martin Krumich
Prediction summary
Winner
Pierluigi Basile
Martin Krumich
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pierluigi Basile
6-4 (W-L)
Martin Krumich
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pierluigi Basile 1559 · Martin Krumich 1485
| Pierluigi Basile | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pierluigi Basile (rating 1559 vs 1485).
- Pierluigi Basile is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Pierluigi Basile makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Pierluigi Basile | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-11.2 | 10.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 60.8% | 29.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pierluigi Basile
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 28/09 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 21/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/09 | Guillermo Tunas Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Adrian Oetzbach Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Roberto Perez Socas M25 Gijon |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 08/09 | David Aguiar Johansson M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Martin Krumich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Dominik Recek M25 Pardubice |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Kacper Knitter Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Javier Barranco Cosano Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pierluigi Basile vs Martin Krumich?
Our model gives 53% to Pierluigi Basile, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.