Tennis · M25 Kigali · 02/10, 10:00
Prediction: Max Houkes vs Alec Beckley
Team pages: Max Houkes · Alec Beckley
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Houkes
Alec Beckley
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Max Houkes
9-1 (W-L)
Alec Beckley
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Houkes 1624 · Alec Beckley 1487
| Max Houkes | Alec Beckley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Houkes (rating 1624 vs 1487).
- Max Houkes is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Max Houkes | Alec Beckley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (8) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-6.1 | 12.5-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 64.4% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Houkes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Allan Gatoto M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Darrshan Suresh M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Walid Ahouda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Mehdi Benchakroun M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/09 | Karim Bennani M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 05/09 | Jack Loge M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Pierre Delage M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Alec Beckley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Niklas Grunewald M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Axel Nefve M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/08 | Gregor Hausberger M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Noel Larwig M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Andrej Martin Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 26/07 | Jakub Kusy Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Vincent Dullinger M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Tom Sickenberger M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Houkes vs Alec Beckley?
Our model gives 79% to Max Houkes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.