Tennis · Challenger Curitiba · 02/10, 16:00
Prediction: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Tomas Barrios Vera
Team pages: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida · Tomas Barrios Vera
Prediction summary
Winner
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Tomas Barrios Vera
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
6-4 (W-L)
Tomas Barrios Vera
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
2–2
Tomas Barrios Vera
(4 last)
- 24 Oct2-1 15-14W
- 17 Oct0-2 7-13L
- 18 Mar1-2 9-15L
- 08 Nov2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1526 · Tomas Barrios Vera 1504
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-11.5 | 10.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 27.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 2 – 2 Tomas Barrios Vera (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 2–2 Tomas Barrios Vera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/25 Challenger Costa do Sauipe | 2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 17/10/24 Challenger Campinas | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/03/22 Challenger Concepcion | 1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 08/11/21 Challenger Montevideo | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/09 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Remy Bertola Davis Cup |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 02/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Marek Gengel Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Peter Makk Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Tomas Barrios Vera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Daniel Rincon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Tomas Barrios Vera?
Our model gives 51% to Tomas Barrios Vera, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.