Tennis · Challenger Curitiba · 01/10, 15:00
Prediction: Guido Ivan Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto
Team pages: Guido Ivan Justo · Pedro Sakamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Guido Ivan Justo
Pedro Sakamoto
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Guido Ivan Justo
5-5 (W-L)
Pedro Sakamoto
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Guido Ivan Justo
2–1
Pedro Sakamoto
(3 last)
- 30 Apr2-1 14-11W
- 22 Aug0-2 10-13L
- 28 Mar2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guido Ivan Justo 1508 · Pedro Sakamoto 1607
| Guido Ivan Justo | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Sakamoto (rating 1508 vs 1607).
- Pedro Sakamoto is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Guido Ivan Justo 2–1 Pedro Sakamoto (3).
Statistics
| Guido Ivan Justo | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.9-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.1 | 13-8 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 78.1% |
| Break % | 53.9% | 58.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Guido Ivan Justo 2 – 1 Pedro Sakamoto (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guido Ivan Justo 2–1 Pedro Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/24 Challenger Porto Alegre | 2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/08/23 Challenger Lima | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/03/19 ITF M15 Pinamar | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guido Ivan Justo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Hugo Gaston US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Pedro Sakamoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 27/09 | Joao Goncalves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Joao Goncalves M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Belem |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha M15 Belem |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guido Ivan Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto?
Our model gives 52% to Guido Ivan Justo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.