Tennis · M15 Fayetteville · 30/09, 19:00
Prediction: Neo Niedner vs Duje Markovina
Team pages: Neo Niedner · Duje Markovina
Prediction summary
Winner
Neo Niedner
Duje Markovina
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Neo Niedner
8-2 (W-L)
Duje Markovina
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Neo Niedner 1566 · Duje Markovina 1471
| Neo Niedner | Duje Markovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Neo Niedner (rating 1566 vs 1471).
- Duje Markovina dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 40.9% break avg.
- Neo Niedner is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Neo Niedner makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Neo Niedner | Duje Markovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.1 | 10.6-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Neo Niedner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Volodymyr Gurenko M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Frankfurt |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Tom Zeuch M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Tom Sickenberger M25 Wetzlar |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 29/07 | Kaspar Mathes M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Jonas Kucera M15 Uslar |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Lenn Stueckrath M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Nathan Cox M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Matt Kuhar M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Nicholas Godsick M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Duje Markovina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Charlie Swaine M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Ymerali Ibraimi M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Jake Delaney M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 24/07 | Chase Ferguson M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Blake Ellis M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Ashton Mcleod M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Jake Delaney M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Jan Kumstat M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Neo Niedner vs Duje Markovina?
Our model gives 58% to Neo Niedner, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.