Tennis · M15 Fayetteville · 02/10, 18:30
Prediction: Theo Papamalamis vs Aryan Shah
Team pages: Theo Papamalamis · Aryan Shah
Prediction summary
Winner
Theo Papamalamis
Aryan Shah
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Theo Papamalamis
9-1 (W-L)
Aryan Shah
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Theo Papamalamis 1562 · Aryan Shah 1490
| Theo Papamalamis | Aryan Shah | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Theo Papamalamis (rating 1562 vs 1490).
- Theo Papamalamis is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Aryan Shah makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Theo Papamalamis | Aryan Shah | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.7 | 11.5-12.5 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Theo Papamalamis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Tito Chavez M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Ben Weintraub M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/08 | Nicolas Parizzia Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 09/08 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Eupen |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 08/08 | Benoit Torcq M15 Eupen |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Nicolas Ifi M15 Eupen |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Ferdinand Kloesters M15 Eupen |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/08 | David Tixhon M15 Eupen |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Pierre Delage M15 Strasbourg |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Aryan Shah
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Evan Bynoe M15 Fayetteville |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Stefan Vujic M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Luca Potenza M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Louis Larue M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Marcos Giron ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Niklas Guttau M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Anton Matusevich M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Theo Papamalamis vs Aryan Shah?
Our model gives 57% to Theo Papamalamis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.