Tennis · M15 Fayetteville · 30/09, 16:00

Prediction: Asahi Harazaki vs Jonah Braswell

Team pages: Asahi Harazaki · Jonah Braswell

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Asahi Harazaki Jonah Braswell
Estimated games
18.7
Recent form · 10 last
Asahi Harazaki 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWLWWWL
Jonah Braswell 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWLLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Asahi Harazaki 1519 · Jonah Braswell 1446
Asahi HarazakiJonah Braswell
Our model60%40%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asahi Harazaki (rating 1519 vs 1446).
  • Asahi Harazaki is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Jonah Braswell makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Asahi HarazakiJonah Braswell
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard 50% (6) 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.80.7-1.4
Games (G-P)9.2-8.37.6-10.2
Aces2.10.8
Double faults34
1st serve %67.1%61.6%
Break %54%39.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 18.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Asahi Harazaki

LWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/08 Isaac Becroft
M15 Bali
0-2 8-13 L
31/07 Yusuke Takahashi
M15 Bali
2-0 12-5 W
30/07 Jack Bruce-Smith
M15 Bali
2-0 12-8 W
28/07 Hikaru Shiraishi
M15 Bali
2-0 13-10 W
18/07 Hoyoung Roh
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
17/07 Yuquan Jin
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 9-3 W
16/07 Yua Taka
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
14/07 Stefan Storch
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
07/07 Martin Borisiouk
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
04/07 Amirkhamza Nasridinov
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L

Jonah Braswell

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Alexander Frusina
M15 Fayetteville
2-0 12-5 W
22/09 Novak Novakovic
M15 Columbia
0-2 6-12 L
10/09 Greyson Casey
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
09/09 Rishvanth Krishna
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
08/09 Luca Lemaitre
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
29/07 Johannus Monday
M25 Edwardsville
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 James Weber
M25 Edwardsville
2-0 13-9 W
21/07 Stiles Brockett
M25 Champaign
1-2 9-7 L
15/07 Michael Antonius
M15 Rochester
0-2 6-12 L
14/07 Adrian Treacy
M15 Rochester
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Asahi Harazaki vs Jonah Braswell?

Our model gives 65% to Asahi Harazaki, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.