Tennis · M15 Fayetteville · 30/09, 17:30
Prediction: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Jerry Roddick
Team pages: Johan Alexander Rodriguez · Jerry Roddick
Prediction summary
Winner
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Jerry Roddick
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
5-5 (W-L)
Jerry Roddick
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Johan Alexander Rodriguez 1467 · Jerry Roddick 1558
| Johan Alexander Rodriguez | Jerry Roddick | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jerry Roddick (rating 1467 vs 1558).
- Jerry Roddick is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Johan Alexander Rodriguez | Jerry Roddick | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12.5 | 11.7-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp Davis Cup |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Elijah Strode M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 28/07 | Jacob Brumm M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Matias Soto Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
Jerry Roddick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Rudy Ceccon M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Sapporo |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Yua Taka M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Ryuichiro Nakano M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/09 | Taisei Ichikawa M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Yamato Sueoka M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Joshua Peck M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Jerry Roddick?
Our model gives 51% to Jerry Roddick, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.