Tennis · Challenger Curitiba · 30/09, 16:30
Prediction: Bruno Fernandez vs Lautaro Midon
Team pages: Bruno Fernandez · Lautaro Midon
Prediction summary
Winner
Bruno Fernandez
Lautaro Midon
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Bruno Fernandez
4-6 (W-L)
Lautaro Midon
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bruno Fernandez
0–2
Lautaro Midon
(2 last)
- 31 Mar1-2 13-15L
- 30 Oct0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bruno Fernandez 1490 · Lautaro Midon 1546
| Bruno Fernandez | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lautaro Midon (rating 1490 vs 1546).
- Head-to-head: Bruno Fernandez 0–2 Lautaro Midon (2).
Statistics
| Bruno Fernandez | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11 | 11.8-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Bruno Fernandez 0 – 2 Lautaro Midon (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bruno Fernandez 0–2 Lautaro Midon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/26 Challenger Sao Leopoldo | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/10/24 ITF M25 Lajeado | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bruno Fernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Wilson Leite Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 28/09 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/09 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Tomas Farjat Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Dante Pagani Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Mate Valkusz M15 Budapest |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Trisztan Gubi M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Lautaro Midon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Kyrian Jacquet US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Dan Martin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Igor Marcondes ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bruno Fernandez vs Lautaro Midon?
Our model gives 71% to Lautaro Midon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.