Tennis · M15 Sibenik · 01/10, 10:00
Prediction: Nikita Mashtakov vs Matthias Ujvary
Team pages: Nikita Mashtakov · Matthias Ujvary
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikita Mashtakov
Matthias Ujvary
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Mashtakov
7-3 (W-L)
Matthias Ujvary
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikita Mashtakov 1554 · Matthias Ujvary 1521
| Nikita Mashtakov | Matthias Ujvary | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matthias Ujvary makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Nikita Mashtakov | Matthias Ujvary | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.3 | 10.8-9 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikita Mashtakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Sibenik |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Pavlos Tsitsipas Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Alexander Weis Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Stefan Popovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Valentin Basel Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Matthias Ujvary
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Mauro Mavracic M15 Sibenik |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/09 | Olle Wallin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Noel Larwig M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Facundo Yunis M15 Mistelbach |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Peter Makk M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Karol Filar M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Massimo Pizzigoni M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Poprad |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Peter Sallay M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikita Mashtakov vs Matthias Ujvary?
Our model gives 68% to Nikita Mashtakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.