Tennis · M15 Sibenik · 30/09, 10:00

Prediction: Ivan Biletic vs Nicolo Toffanin

Team pages: Ivan Biletic · Nicolo Toffanin

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Ivan Biletic Nicolo Toffanin
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Biletic 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLLWLW
Nicolo Toffanin 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ivan Biletic 1486 · Nicolo Toffanin 1447
Ivan BileticNicolo Toffanin
Our model56%44%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Ivan BileticNicolo Toffanin
Win %40%30%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.30.8-1.6
Games (G-P)8.1-9.89.6-11.5
Aces2.61.4
Double faults3.43
1st serve %63.8%57.2%
Break %39.5%55.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ivan Biletic

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Rafael Behr
M15 Sibenik
2-0 12-3 W
17/09 Adrian Andreev
M25 Zlatibor
0-2 2-12 L
16/09 Caheer Warik
M25 Zlatibor
2-1 13-8 W
26/08 Edoardo Cherie Ligniere
M25 Maribor
0-2 3-12 L
18/08 Tilen Kovac
M25 Slovenj Gradec
0-2 6-12 L
21/07 Patrik Homola
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 6-13 L
02/07 Andrej Martin
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
01/07 Maxwell Castle
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
29/06 Dorian Tremblay
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-0 11-7 W
24/06 Saba Purtseladze
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L

Nicolo Toffanin

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/09 Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
M15 Melilla
0-2 6-12 L
16/09 Esteban Talavera Cortes
M15 Melilla
2-0 12-8 W
09/09 Jack Loge
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
27/08 Samuele Pieri
M25 Maribor
0-2 6-13 L
26/08 Vaal Urankar
M25 Maribor
2-1 18-11 W
20/08 Gabriele Maria Noce
M15 Mistelbach
0-2 7-12 L
19/08 Paul Schmid
M15 Mistelbach
2-1 16-11 W
11/08 Odysseas Geladaris
M15 Targu Jiu
0-2 6-12 L
03/08 Tobia Grandinetti
M25 Fano
1-2 6-8 L
28/07 Gabriel Sardo
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
1-2 17-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ivan Biletic vs Nicolo Toffanin?

Our model gives 56% to Ivan Biletic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.