Tennis · ATP Beijing MD · 30/09, 06:30
Prediction: Gille/Verbeek vs Gonzalez/Molteni
Team pages: Gille/Verbeek · Gonzalez/Molteni
Prediction summary
Winner
Gille/Verbeek
Gonzalez/Molteni
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gille/Verbeek
3-7 (W-L)
Gonzalez/Molteni
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gille/Verbeek 1475 · Gonzalez/Molteni 1529
| Gille/Verbeek | Gonzalez/Molteni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gonzalez/Molteni (rating 1475 vs 1529).
Statistics
| Gille/Verbeek | Gonzalez/Molteni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-14.7 | 11.6-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 77.1% | 75.7% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 33.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gille/Verbeek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Reynolds/Watt ATP Beijing MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-14 | W |
| 25/09 | Reynolds/Watt ATP Hangzhou MD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Bolelli/Vavassori US Open MD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Blockx/Prizmic US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Boulais/Chan Challenger Quebec City MD · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Loof/Uesugi Challenger San Marino MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Molteni/Trhac ATP Kitzbuhel MD · Clay |
1-2 | 26-28 | L |
| 18/07 | Demoliner/Galloway ATP Gstaad MD · Clay |
1-2 | 16-22 | L |
| 17/07 | Dietrich/Stricker ATP Gstaad MD · Clay |
2-1 | 21-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Romboli/Smith ATP Gstaad MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Gonzalez/Molteni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Cui/Te ATP Beijing MD · Hard |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Cui/Te ATP Beijing MD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/09 | Gonzalez/Jebens ATP Hangzhou MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Granollers/Zeballos US Open MD · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Nouza/Oberleitner US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Frantzen/Haase US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 10/05 | Schnaitter/Wallner ATP Rome MD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Andreozzi/Guinard ATP Madrid MD · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Goransson/King ATP Madrid MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/04 | Cabral/Salisbury ATP Madrid MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gille/Verbeek vs Gonzalez/Molteni?
Our model gives 53% to Gonzalez/Molteni, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.