Tennis · ATP Beijing MD · 29/09, 09:00
Prediction: Gille/Verbeek vs Reynolds/Watt
Team pages: Gille/Verbeek · Reynolds/Watt
Prediction summary
Winner
Gille/Verbeek
Reynolds/Watt
Estimated games
27.8
Recent form · 10 last
Gille/Verbeek
3-7 (W-L)
Reynolds/Watt
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gille/Verbeek
0–3
Reynolds/Watt
(3 last)
- 25 Sept0-2 7-12L
- 18 Jun1-2 20-25L
- 13 Jan1-2 22-25L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gille/Verbeek 1438 · Reynolds/Watt 1505
| Gille/Verbeek | Reynolds/Watt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reynolds/Watt (rating 1438 vs 1505).
- Head-to-head: Gille/Verbeek 0–3 Reynolds/Watt (3).
Statistics
| Gille/Verbeek | Reynolds/Watt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-14.6 | 14.2-13.5 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 76.7% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 25.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.8
H2H · Gille/Verbeek 0 – 3 Reynolds/Watt (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gille/Verbeek 0–3 Reynolds/Watt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/26 ATP Hangzhou MD | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06/26 Challenger Nottingham MD | 1-2 | 20-25 | L |
| 13/01/26 ATP Auckland MD | 1-2 | 22-25 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gille/Verbeek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Reynolds/Watt ATP Hangzhou MD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Bolelli/Vavassori US Open MD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Blockx/Prizmic US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Boulais/Chan Challenger Quebec City MD · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Loof/Uesugi Challenger San Marino MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Molteni/Trhac ATP Kitzbuhel MD · Clay |
1-2 | 26-28 | L |
| 18/07 | Demoliner/Galloway ATP Gstaad MD · Clay |
1-2 | 16-22 | L |
| 17/07 | Dietrich/Stricker ATP Gstaad MD · Clay |
2-1 | 21-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Romboli/Smith ATP Gstaad MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Doumbia/Reboul Wimbledon MD · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Reynolds/Watt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | King/Stevens ATP Hangzhou MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Gille/Verbeek ATP Hangzhou MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/09 | Andreozzi/Guinard US Open MD · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Arseneault/Rozin Challenger Quebec City MD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Seggerman/Trhac ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
1-2 | 21-23 | L |
| 01/08 | Escobar/Kaliyanda Poonacha ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Hijikata/Stalder ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Galloway/King ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 24/07 | Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha Challenger Bloomfield Hills MD · Hard |
1-2 | 22-24 | L |
| 23/07 | Puttergill/Sweeny Challenger Bloomfield Hills MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gille/Verbeek vs Reynolds/Watt?
Our model gives 55% to Reynolds/Watt, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.