Tennis · WTA Jingshan · 01/10, 05:00
Prediction: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Kyoka Okamura
Team pages: Alevtina Ibragimova · Kyoka Okamura
Prediction summary
Winner
Alevtina Ibragimova
Kyoka Okamura
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alevtina Ibragimova
5-5 (W-L)
Kyoka Okamura
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alevtina Ibragimova 1541 · Kyoka Okamura 1467
| Alevtina Ibragimova | Kyoka Okamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alevtina Ibragimova (rating 1541 vs 1467).
- Alevtina Ibragimova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alevtina Ibragimova | Kyoka Okamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.4 | 7.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 55.4% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 32.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alevtina Ibragimova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Daria Khomutsianskaya WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Sara Saito WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Rina Saigo WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Rositsa Dencheva WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Julie Struplova WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Mariam Bolkvadze US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Kyoka Okamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Ru Xi Wu WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/09 | Eva Marie Desvignes WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Kristiana Sidorova W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Susan Bandecchi W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alevtina Ibragimova vs Kyoka Okamura?
Our model gives 66% to Alevtina Ibragimova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.