Tennis · WTA Jingshan · 30/09, 04:00
Prediction: Alexandra Shubladze vs Jia-Jing Lu
Team pages: Alexandra Shubladze · Jia-Jing Lu
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandra Shubladze
Jia-Jing Lu
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandra Shubladze
8-2 (W-L)
Jia-Jing Lu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandra Shubladze 1588 · Jia-Jing Lu 1539
| Alexandra Shubladze | Jia-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Shubladze (rating 1588 vs 1539).
Statistics
| Alexandra Shubladze | Jia-Jing Lu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-6.6 | 11.4-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandra Shubladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Rina Saigo WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Darya Astakhova WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Gaeul Jang WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/09 | Kristiana Sidorova W35 Shenyang |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Meiling Wang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Yufei Ren W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Tahlia Kokkinis W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/09 | Xinxin Yao W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Haruka Kaji W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Yuki Naito W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Jia-Jing Lu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Tiana Tian Deng W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Cheuk Ying Shek W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Hiromi Abe W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Ena Shibahara W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Eri Shimizu W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/09 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Kanon Sawashiro W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/09 | Wushuang Zheng W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandra Shubladze vs Jia-Jing Lu?
Our model gives 70% to Alexandra Shubladze, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.