Tennis · Challenger Curitiba · 29/09, 21:00
Prediction: Samuel Heredia vs Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Team pages: Samuel Heredia · Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuel Heredia
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Samuel Heredia
3-7 (W-L)
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Samuel Heredia
0–1
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
(1 last)
- 24 Sept0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuel Heredia 1470 · Joao Eduardo Schiessl 1551
| Samuel Heredia | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joao Eduardo Schiessl (rating 1470 vs 1551).
- Joao Eduardo Schiessl is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Samuel Heredia 0–1 Joao Eduardo Schiessl (1).
- Note: Samuel Heredia makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Samuel Heredia | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-13.4 | 10.6-8.8 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 49.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Samuel Heredia 0 – 1 Joao Eduardo Schiessl (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Samuel Heredia 0–1 Joao Eduardo Schiessl
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/25 ITF M25 Barueri | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuel Heredia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 27/09 | Leonardo Storck Franca Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Jesper De Jong Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Laslo Djere Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Luca Potenza M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | John Echeverria Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Eduardo Lage M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto M15 Porto Velho |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Luiz Felipe Silva M15 Porto Velho |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Andre Souza M15 Porto Velho |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Franco Marini M15 Porto Velho |
1-1 | 6-2 | W |
| 06/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Londrina |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Pedro Dietrich M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Nicolas Villalon M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuel Heredia vs Joao Eduardo Schiessl?
Our model gives 58% to Joao Eduardo Schiessl, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.