Tennis · M15 Fayetteville · 29/09, 17:30
Prediction: Neo Niedner vs Volodymyr Gurenko
Team pages: Neo Niedner · Volodymyr Gurenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Neo Niedner
Volodymyr Gurenko
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Neo Niedner
8-2 (W-L)
Volodymyr Gurenko
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Neo Niedner 1556 · Volodymyr Gurenko 1477
| Neo Niedner | Volodymyr Gurenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Neo Niedner (rating 1556 vs 1477).
- Neo Niedner is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Neo Niedner makes many double faults (5.5/match).
- Note: Volodymyr Gurenko makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Neo Niedner | Volodymyr Gurenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.8 | 10.3-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Neo Niedner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Frankfurt |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Tom Zeuch M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Tom Sickenberger M25 Wetzlar |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 29/07 | Kaspar Mathes M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Jonas Kucera M15 Uslar |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Lenn Stueckrath M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Nathan Cox M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Matt Kuhar M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Nicholas Godsick M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Jean Baptiste Badon M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Volodymyr Gurenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Andres Rendon M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Matthew Thomson M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Tristan Stringer M25 Laval |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Kyle Overmyer M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/04 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Oliver Sanders M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 29/04 | Antoine Voisin M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Neo Niedner vs Volodymyr Gurenko?
Our model gives 69% to Neo Niedner, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.