Tennis · M15 Fayetteville · 29/09, 16:00

Prediction: Alexander Frusina vs Jonah Braswell

Team pages: Alexander Frusina · Jonah Braswell

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Alexander Frusina Jonah Braswell
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Frusina 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWWLWLL
Jonah Braswell 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLWLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alexander Frusina 1514 · Jonah Braswell 1414
Alexander FrusinaJonah Braswell
Our model64%36%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Frusina (rating 1514 vs 1414).
  • Alexander Frusina is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Jonah Braswell makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Alexander FrusinaJonah Braswell
Win %60%20%
Win % · Hard – 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.1-0.90.6-1.6
Games (G-P)9.6-8.18-11.6
Aces2.30.8
Double faults3.14.2
1st serve %68.6%61.1%
Break %41.7%36.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alexander Frusina

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Jakub Vrba
M15 Champaign
0-2 7-12 L
06/08 Timo Legout
M25 Southaven
0-2 6-12 L
04/08 Felix Corwin
M25 Southaven
2-1 13-12 W
17/07 Timo Legout
M25 Louisville
0-2 7-12 L
16/07 William Jansen
M25 Louisville
2-0 13-10 W
15/07 Ryan Colby
M25 Louisville
1-0 7-3 W
14/07 Jon Gamble
M25 Louisville
2-0 12-2 W
09/07 Evan Zhu
M25 Dallas
0-2 7-12 L
08/07 Xavier Calvelo
M25 Dallas
2-0 12-4 W
07/07 Alex Finkelstein
M25 Dallas
2-0 12-2 W

Jonah Braswell

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Novak Novakovic
M15 Columbia
0-2 6-12 L
10/09 Greyson Casey
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
09/09 Rishvanth Krishna
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
08/09 Luca Lemaitre
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
29/07 Johannus Monday
M25 Edwardsville
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 James Weber
M25 Edwardsville
2-0 13-9 W
21/07 Stiles Brockett
M25 Champaign
1-2 9-7 L
15/07 Michael Antonius
M15 Rochester
0-2 6-12 L
14/07 Adrian Treacy
M15 Rochester
2-0 13-9 W
08/07 William Manning
M25 Dallas
1-2 16-19 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alexander Frusina vs Jonah Braswell?

Our model gives 65% to Alexander Frusina, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.