Tennis · M15 Fayetteville · 30/09, 16:00
Prediction: Theo Papamalamis vs Ben Weintraub
Team pages: Theo Papamalamis · Ben Weintraub
Prediction summary
Winner
Theo Papamalamis
Ben Weintraub
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Theo Papamalamis
8-2 (W-L)
Ben Weintraub
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Theo Papamalamis 1564 · Ben Weintraub 1479
| Theo Papamalamis | Ben Weintraub | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Theo Papamalamis (rating 1564 vs 1479).
- Theo Papamalamis is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ben Weintraub makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Theo Papamalamis | Ben Weintraub | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-11.9 | 9.3-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 67% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Theo Papamalamis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/08 | Nicolas Parizzia Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 09/08 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Eupen |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 08/08 | Benoit Torcq M15 Eupen |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Nicolas Ifi M15 Eupen |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Ferdinand Kloesters M15 Eupen |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/08 | David Tixhon M15 Eupen |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Pierre Delage M15 Strasbourg |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Arthur Nagel M15 Strasbourg |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 31/07 | Amaury Raynel M15 Strasbourg |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Ben Weintraub
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Sebastian Dominko Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Lilian Marmousez M15 Budapest |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Jules Leroux M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Alex Finkelstein M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Alex Zuckerman M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 8-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Marc Van Der Merwe M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Luke Bracks UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Craig Klein UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/10 | Alejandro M Kretzer UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Arsene Pougault UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Theo Papamalamis vs Ben Weintraub?
Our model gives 73% to Theo Papamalamis, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.