Tennis · Challenger Curitiba · 29/09, 19:30
Prediction: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Pedro Sakamoto
Team pages: Eduardo Ribeiro · Pedro Sakamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Eduardo Ribeiro
Pedro Sakamoto
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Eduardo Ribeiro
5-5 (W-L)
Pedro Sakamoto
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Eduardo Ribeiro
1–1
Pedro Sakamoto
(2 last)
- 10 Oct2-1 16-12W
- 12 Jul0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eduardo Ribeiro 1512 · Pedro Sakamoto 1598
| Eduardo Ribeiro | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Sakamoto (rating 1512 vs 1598).
- Pedro Sakamoto is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Eduardo Ribeiro | Pedro Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.8 | 12.3-8.5 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 32% | 63.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Eduardo Ribeiro 1 – 1 Pedro Sakamoto (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eduardo Ribeiro 1–1 Pedro Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/25 ITF M25 Rio de Janeiro | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 12/07/24 M25 Sao Paulo | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eduardo Ribeiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Federico Coria Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Jelle Sels Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 30/08 | Nicolas Barrientos Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 17/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Pedro Sakamoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 27/09 | Joao Goncalves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Joao Goncalves M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Belem |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha M15 Belem |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Mateus Alves M15 Leme |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eduardo Ribeiro vs Pedro Sakamoto?
Our model gives 53% to Eduardo Ribeiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.