Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 03/10, 03:30
Prediction: Xavier Calvelo vs Jan Kobierski
Team pages: Xavier Calvelo · Jan Kobierski
Prediction summary
Winner
Xavier Calvelo
Jan Kobierski
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Xavier Calvelo
8-2 (W-L)
Jan Kobierski
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xavier Calvelo 1573 · Jan Kobierski 1475
| Xavier Calvelo | Jan Kobierski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xavier Calvelo (rating 1573 vs 1475).
- Xavier Calvelo is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Xavier Calvelo | Jan Kobierski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.6 | 9.6-12.5 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xavier Calvelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Luca Ostovany UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Peter Jorniak UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Holland Snell UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Douglas Yaffa UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 18/07 | Benjamin Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Jan Kobierski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Peter Jorniak UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Luca Ostovany UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Wels |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | David Naharro M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/12 | Aditya Govila UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/12 | Stiles Brockett UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 27/12 | Adrian Treacy UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xavier Calvelo vs Jan Kobierski?
Our model gives 72% to Xavier Calvelo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.