Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 03/10, 23:30

Prediction: Jan Kobierski vs Jacob Brumm

Team pages: Jan Kobierski · Jacob Brumm

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Jan Kobierski Jacob Brumm
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Kobierski 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLLLWLL
Jacob Brumm 5-5 (W-L)
LLLLWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jan Kobierski 1474 · Jacob Brumm 1513
Jan KobierskiJacob Brumm
Our model44%56%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jan KobierskiJacob Brumm
Win %30%50%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.61.2-1.1
Games (G-P)9.5-12.410.6-8
Aces2.11.6
Double faults2.61.4
1st serve %57.2%63.7%
Break %37.7%46.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jan Kobierski

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/10 Xavier Calvelo
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
02/10 Adam Chodur
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
01/10 Peter Jorniak
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
29/09 Luca Ostovany
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
20/09 Spencer Johnson
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
29/07 John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Wels
0-2 5-12 L
15/07 Max Wiskandt
M25 Kramsach
0-2 6-13 L
23/06 David Naharro
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
30/12 Aditya Govila
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
28/12 Stiles Brockett
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
1-2 10-17 L

Jacob Brumm

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/10 Gianluca Brunkow
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
30/09 Diego Herrera
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
29/09 George Hakopian
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
28/09 Marco Alvarez
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
12/09 Liam Oliver
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
11/09 Gregory Gamal
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
08/09 Cesar Cruz
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 13-12 L
08/09 Cassius Chinlund
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 15-8 W
27/08 David Duong
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
27/08 Carson Lee
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jan Kobierski vs Jacob Brumm?

Our model gives 64% to Jacob Brumm, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.