Tennis · Challenger Bari · 29/09, 13:00
Prediction: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi
Team pages: Massimo Giunta · Federico Arnaboldi
Prediction summary
Winner
Massimo Giunta
Federico Arnaboldi
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Massimo Giunta
5-5 (W-L)
Federico Arnaboldi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Massimo Giunta 1504 · Federico Arnaboldi 1490
| Massimo Giunta | Federico Arnaboldi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Federico Arnaboldi makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Massimo Giunta | Federico Arnaboldi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.4 | 10.4-12.4 |
| Aces | 5 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Massimo Giunta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 10/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Filippo Romano Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Marcello Serafini M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Fano |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Federico Arnaboldi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Florian Broska Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Maximilian Marterer Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi?
Our model gives 54% to Massimo Giunta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.