Tennis · Challenger Bari · 29/09, 10:00
Prediction: Olle Wallin vs Matthew William Donald
Team pages: Olle Wallin · Matthew William Donald
Prediction summary
Winner
Olle Wallin
Matthew William Donald
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Olle Wallin
4-6 (W-L)
Matthew William Donald
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Olle Wallin
1–0
Matthew William Donald
(1 last)
- 27 Jul2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olle Wallin 1550 · Matthew William Donald 1493
| Olle Wallin | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olle Wallin (rating 1550 vs 1493).
- Head-to-head: Olle Wallin 1–0 Matthew William Donald (1).
- Note: Matthew William Donald makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Olle Wallin | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.6 | 11.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Olle Wallin 1 – 0 Matthew William Donald (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olle Wallin 1–0 Matthew William Donald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/26 Challenger Bonn | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olle Wallin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Matthias Ujvary Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Johan Nikles Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Andrea Colombo Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/08 | Niccolo Catini Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 10/08 | Niklas Guttau Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Matthew William Donald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/09 | Carles Cordoba Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 07/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Jelle Sels Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 17/08 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olle Wallin vs Matthew William Donald?
Our model gives 56% to Olle Wallin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.