Tennis · Challenger Bari · 29/09, 11:30
Prediction: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Jay Clarke
Team pages: Fabrizio Andaloro · Jay Clarke
Prediction summary
Winner
Fabrizio Andaloro
Jay Clarke
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Fabrizio Andaloro
7-3 (W-L)
Jay Clarke
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fabrizio Andaloro 1527 · Jay Clarke 1585
| Fabrizio Andaloro | Jay Clarke | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jay Clarke (rating 1527 vs 1585).
Statistics
| Fabrizio Andaloro | Jay Clarke | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.8-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10 | 13.7-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 44% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fabrizio Andaloro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Filippo Moroni Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 27/09 | Francesco Giuseppe Colasanto Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | John Echeverria M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Pozzuoli |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 10/09 | Andrea Colombo M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Evan Galea M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/08 | Emile Hudd Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Giulio Perego Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/08 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Jay Clarke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | John Sperle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/09 | Felix Gill Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 04/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 01/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fabrizio Andaloro vs Jay Clarke?
Our model gives 71% to Jay Clarke, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.