Tennis · WTA Adana · 30/09, 10:30

Prediction: Antonia Ruzic vs Julia Riera

Team pages: Antonia Ruzic · Julia Riera

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Antonia Ruzic Julia Riera
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Antonia Ruzic 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLLLLLLW
Julia Riera 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLWLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Antonia Ruzic 1452 · Julia Riera 1501
Antonia RuzicJulia Riera
Our model43%57%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julia Riera (rating 1452 vs 1501).
  • Julia Riera is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Julia Riera makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Antonia RuzicJulia Riera
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 29% (7) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.61.2-0.9
Games (G-P)9.6-12.210-8.7
Aces12.5
Double faults3.94.1
1st serve %56.1%65.8%
Break %42.3%48.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Antonia Ruzic

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Vendula Valdmannova
WTA Adana · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
31/08 Ann Li
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
24/08 Nikola Bartunkova
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
13/08 Magdalena Frech
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
04/08 Madison Keys
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
03/08 Lois Boisson
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
20/07 Dominika Salkova
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
01/07 Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 2-12 L
29/06 Darja Semenistaja
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 15-12 W
22/06 Petra Marcinko
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
1-2 18-18 L

Julia Riera

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Anna Siskova
WTA Adana · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
22/09 Elena Micic
WTA Ankara · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
15/09 Elina Avanesyan
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
11/09 Anna Blinkova
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
10/09 Mary Stoiana
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
09/09 Dominika Salkova
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
25/08 Viktoria Hruncakova
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
26/07 Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W75 Vacaria
2-0 13-5 W
25/07 Laura Pigossi
W75 Vacaria
2-0 12-4 W
24/07 Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva
W75 Vacaria
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antonia Ruzic vs Julia Riera?

Our model gives 54% to Antonia Ruzic, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.