Prediction: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Team pages: Leolia Jeanjean · Lucrezia Stefanini
Prediction summary
Winner
Leolia Jeanjean
Lucrezia Stefanini
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Leolia Jeanjean
4-6 (W-L)
Lucrezia Stefanini
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Leolia Jeanjean
1–2
Lucrezia Stefanini
(3 last)
- 13 Aug0-2 6-12L
- 09 Mar1-2 16-19L
- 22 Jun2-1 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leolia Jeanjean 1521 · Lucrezia Stefanini 1568
| Leolia Jeanjean | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucrezia Stefanini (rating 1521 vs 1568).
- Head-to-head: Leolia Jeanjean 1–2 Lucrezia Stefanini (3).
- Note: Leolia Jeanjean makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Leolia Jeanjean | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.8 | 11.5-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 57.2% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Leolia Jeanjean 1 – 2 Lucrezia Stefanini (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leolia Jeanjean 1–2 Lucrezia Stefanini
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/26 WTA Cincinnati | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/03/26 WTA Austin | 1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 22/06/22 Wimbledon Women | 2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leolia Jeanjean
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Melisa Ercan WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 28/09 | Suzan Lamens WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Claire Liu WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Julieta Pareja WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Carolina Alves WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Anastasia Potapova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Arantxa Rus US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Lucrezia Stefanini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Cagla Buyukakcay WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 28/09 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Jasmine Paolini US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Dayana Yastremska US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Julieta Pareja US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Madison Brengle US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Ayla Aksu US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leolia Jeanjean vs Lucrezia Stefanini?
Our model gives 54% to Lucrezia Stefanini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.