Tennis · M15 Sibenik · 29/09, 10:00
Prediction: Nikita Mashtakov vs Jonas Gundacker
Team pages: Nikita Mashtakov · Jonas Gundacker
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikita Mashtakov
Jonas Gundacker
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Mashtakov
6-4 (W-L)
Jonas Gundacker
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nikita Mashtakov
1–0
Jonas Gundacker
(1 last)
- 19 Jun2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikita Mashtakov 1547 · Jonas Gundacker 1490
| Nikita Mashtakov | Jonas Gundacker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikita Mashtakov (rating 1547 vs 1490).
- Head-to-head: Nikita Mashtakov 1–0 Jonas Gundacker (1).
Statistics
| Nikita Mashtakov | Jonas Gundacker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10 | 12-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Nikita Mashtakov 1 – 0 Jonas Gundacker (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nikita Mashtakov 1–0 Jonas Gundacker
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/25 M15 Nyiregyhaza | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikita Mashtakov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Pavlos Tsitsipas Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Alexander Weis Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Stefan Popovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Valentin Basel Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/08 | Daniel Michalski M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Jonas Gundacker
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Lukas Pokorny M25 Pardubice |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Adam Duda M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Andrej Martin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Wojciech Marek M15 Szczawno |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 27/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Vienna |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/08 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Frederic Schlossmann M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikita Mashtakov vs Jonas Gundacker?
Our model gives 71% to Nikita Mashtakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.