Tennis · M15 Telavi · 29/09, 08:00
Prediction: Nicola Rispoli vs Federico Valle
Team pages: Nicola Rispoli · Federico Valle
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicola Rispoli
Federico Valle
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nicola Rispoli
6-4 (W-L)
Federico Valle
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicola Rispoli 1555 · Federico Valle 1465
| Nicola Rispoli | Federico Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicola Rispoli (rating 1555 vs 1465).
- Nicola Rispoli is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nicola Rispoli | Federico Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.3 | 8.8-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 59.4% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicola Rispoli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Bogdan Seleznev M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 15/09 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Federico Bove M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/09 | Dragos Nicolae Madaras M15 Buzau |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Buzau |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Tudor Batin M15 Buzau |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Fermin Tenti M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/09 | Uladzimir Ignatik M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Ioan Alexandru Teglas M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Nico Hipfl M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Federico Valle
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Matteo Sabbatini M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Matteo Sabbatini M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Daniel Lechner M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Arad |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan M15 Arad |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan M15 Arad |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 05/08 | Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Calin Apostol M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Cesar Stefan Bentzel M25 Pitesti |
2-1 | 8-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicola Rispoli vs Federico Valle?
Our model gives 76% to Nicola Rispoli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.