Tennis · M15 Telavi · 30/09, 08:00

Prediction: Stijn Paardekooper vs Giannicola Misasi

Team pages: Stijn Paardekooper · Giannicola Misasi

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Stijn Paardekooper Giannicola Misasi
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Stijn Paardekooper 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWWWLW
Giannicola Misasi 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWWLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stijn Paardekooper 1578 · Giannicola Misasi 1496
Stijn PaardekooperGiannicola Misasi
Our model62%38%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stijn Paardekooper (rating 1578 vs 1496).
  • Stijn Paardekooper is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Stijn PaardekooperGiannicola Misasi
Win %90%50%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 100% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.41.3-1
Games (G-P)12.6-7.211.1-8.7
Aces4.81.4
Double faults2.31.8
1st serve %76.8%63.7%
Break %41.8%48.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stijn Paardekooper

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Ruslan Tiukaev
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
25/09 Francesco Ferrari
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
24/09 Denis Klok
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
23/09 Pietro Ricci
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
20/09 Facundo Yunis
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
19/09 Marshall Tutu
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
17/09 Jiri Jindacek
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
16/09 Rafael Kis Balazs
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-1 15-11 W
15/09 Achilles Belkovics
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
14/09 Matej Sabanov
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-1 18-13 W

Giannicola Misasi

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Valentino Grippo
M15 Telavi · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
22/09 Gianmarco Ferrari
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
16/09 Max Hans Rehberg
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
01/09 Matei Florin Breazu
M15 Buzau
1-2 10-13 L
27/08 Gabriel Ghetu
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
26/08 Gheorghe Claudiu Schinteie
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
20/08 Federico Valle
M15 Arad
2-0 12-3 W
18/08 Matei Marius Partal
M15 Arad
2-0 12-0 W
13/08 Odysseas Geladaris
M15 Targu Jiu
1-2 14-16 L
12/08 Carles Rojas
M15 Targu Jiu
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stijn Paardekooper vs Giannicola Misasi?

Our model gives 67% to Stijn Paardekooper, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.