Tennis · WTA Jingshan · 30/09, 05:00

Prediction: Chenting Zhu vs Emerson Jones

Team pages: Chenting Zhu · Emerson Jones

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Chenting Zhu Emerson Jones
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Chenting Zhu 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWLWWLWW
Emerson Jones 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chenting Zhu 1576 · Emerson Jones 1477
Chenting ZhuEmerson Jones
Our model64%36%
Market16%84%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chenting Zhu (rating 1576 vs 1477).
  • Chenting Zhu is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Chenting Zhu makes many double faults (6.9/match).
  • Note: Emerson Jones makes many double faults (6.8/match).

Statistics

Chenting ZhuEmerson Jones
Win %70%40%
Win % · Hard 100% (2) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81-1.5
Games (G-P)11.4-9.511.6-12.4
Aces2.11.2
Double faults6.96.8
1st serve %69.7%61.4%
Break %45.9%53.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chenting Zhu

WWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Sara Saito
WTA Jingshan · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
23/09 Albina Kakenova
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 14-10 W
16/09 Han Shi
W35 Shenyang
0-2 9-13 L
14/09 Yuhan Wang
W35 Shenyang
2-1 12-11 W
13/09 Yu-Yun Li
W35 Shenyang
2-1 13-9 W
10/09 Chia Yi Tsao
W15 Yeongwol
0-2 4-12 L
08/09 Miyu Nakashima
W15 Yeongwol
2-0 12-5 W
04/09 Yujin Kim
W15 Yeongwol
1-1 9-10 L
03/09 Sunam Jeong
W15 Yeongwol
2-1 17-15 W
02/09 Himari Sato
W15 Yeongwol
2-0 12-5 W

Emerson Jones

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Haruka Kaji
WTA Jingshan · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
22/09 Yexin Ma
WTA Seoul · Hard
1-2 8-15 L
25/08 Suzan Lamens
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 14-19 L
11/08 Lanlana Tararudee
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 10-14 L
03/08 Lanlana Tararudee
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
01/08 Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-1 18-11 W
30/07 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
WTA Vancouver · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
30/07 Madison Brengle
WTA Vancouver · Hard
2-1 16-8 W
29/07 Carol Zhao
WTA Vancouver · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
22/07 Ayana Akli
W100 Evansville
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chenting Zhu vs Emerson Jones?

Our model gives 63% to Emerson Jones, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.