Tennis · Challenger Curitiba · 28/09, 16:00
Prediction: Pedro Sakamoto vs Santiago De La Fuente
Team pages: Pedro Sakamoto · Santiago De La Fuente
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Sakamoto
Santiago De La Fuente
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Sakamoto
8-2 (W-L)
Santiago De La Fuente
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Sakamoto 1596 · Santiago De La Fuente 1517
| Pedro Sakamoto | Santiago De La Fuente | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Sakamoto (rating 1596 vs 1517).
Statistics
| Pedro Sakamoto | Santiago De La Fuente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.6 | 10.2-9 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 63.9% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Joao Goncalves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Joao Goncalves M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Belem |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha M15 Belem |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Mateus Alves M15 Leme |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto M15 Leme |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Santiago De La Fuente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Boris Arias Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/09 | Matias Franco Descotte Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Tomas Jordi Leston M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Tobia Grandinetti M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Corey Craig M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Sakamoto vs Santiago De La Fuente?
Our model gives 67% to Pedro Sakamoto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.