Tennis · Challenger Bari · 28/09, 11:30
Prediction: Filippo Moroni vs Fabrizio Andaloro
Team pages: Filippo Moroni · Fabrizio Andaloro
Prediction summary
Winner
Filippo Moroni
Fabrizio Andaloro
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Filippo Moroni
5-5 (W-L)
Fabrizio Andaloro
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Filippo Moroni
1–1
Fabrizio Andaloro
(2 last)
- 16 Jun0-2 9-13L
- 19 Aug2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filippo Moroni 1490 · Fabrizio Andaloro 1527
| Filippo Moroni | Fabrizio Andaloro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Filippo Moroni | Fabrizio Andaloro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.5 | 11.4-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Filippo Moroni 1 – 1 Fabrizio Andaloro (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Filippo Moroni 1–1 Fabrizio Andaloro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/26 M25 Lourinha | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08/25 Challenger Hersonissos | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filippo Moroni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Filippo Mazzola M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Emile Hudd M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tiago Pereira M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-7 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Porto |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Lorenzo Ferri M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/04 | Matteo Martineau M25 Angers · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/04 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Angers · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Fabrizio Andaloro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Francesco Giuseppe Colasanto Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | John Echeverria M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Pozzuoli |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 10/09 | Andrea Colombo M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Evan Galea M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/08 | Emile Hudd Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Giulio Perego Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/08 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filippo Moroni vs Fabrizio Andaloro?
Our model gives 52% to Fabrizio Andaloro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.