Tennis · Challenger Curitiba · 28/09, 15:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Wilson Leite
Team pages: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · Wilson Leite
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Wilson Leite
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
6-4 (W-L)
Wilson Leite
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1510 · Wilson Leite 1533
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Wilson Leite | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Wilson Leite | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.4 | 10.5-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 28.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Bruno Milani Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/09 | Tadeo Meneo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Londrina |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Jose Pereira M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Nicolas Zanellato M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Maximo Zeitune M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 19/07 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Wilson Leite
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Justin Roberts Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Mateus Alves M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Jose Pereira M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Gabriel Roveri Sidney M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Martin Antonio Vergara del Puerto M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Londrina |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Mateus Alves M15 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Benjamin Torrealba M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 30/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Wilson Leite?
Our model gives 64% to Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.