Tennis · Challenger Bari · 28/09, 11:30
Prediction: Matthew William Donald vs Dimitris Sakellaridis
Team pages: Matthew William Donald · Dimitris Sakellaridis
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew William Donald
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew William Donald
5-5 (W-L)
Dimitris Sakellaridis
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matthew William Donald
3–0
Dimitris Sakellaridis
(3 last)
- 14 Aug2-0 12-7W
- 12 Mar2-1 17-12W
- 08 Jan2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew William Donald 1494 · Dimitris Sakellaridis 1512
| Matthew William Donald | Dimitris Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Matthew William Donald 3–0 Dimitris Sakellaridis (3).
- Note: Matthew William Donald makes many double faults (5.6/match).
- Note: Dimitris Sakellaridis makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Matthew William Donald | Dimitris Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.4 | 11.6-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Matthew William Donald 3 – 0 Dimitris Sakellaridis (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matthew William Donald 3–0 Dimitris Sakellaridis
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/26 M25 Muttenz | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/03/25 M15 Monastir | 2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 08/01/24 M15 Monastir | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew William Donald
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Carles Cordoba Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 07/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Jelle Sels Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 17/08 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/08 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Dimitris Sakellaridis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Filippo Francesco Garbero Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Filippo Francesco Garbero Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Lorenzo Berto Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 20/09 | Alessandro Ceppellini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Lorenzo Beraldo Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Pozzuoli |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Antonio Marigliano M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Giammarco Gandolfi M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Bruno Fernandez M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew William Donald vs Dimitris Sakellaridis?
Our model gives 63% to Matthew William Donald, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.