Tennis · WTA Adana · 29/09, 15:30

Prediction: Lucia Bronzetti vs Lois Boisson

Team pages: Lucia Bronzetti · Lois Boisson

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Lucia Bronzetti Lois Boisson
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lucia Bronzetti 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWWLLW
Lois Boisson 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lucia Bronzetti 1531 · Lois Boisson 1460
Lucia BronzettiLois Boisson
Our model60%40%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucia Bronzetti (rating 1531 vs 1460).
  • Lucia Bronzetti is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Lois Boisson makes many double faults (5.5/match).

Statistics

Lucia BronzettiLois Boisson
Win %60%30%
Win % · Clay 67% (9) –
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.3-1.4
Games (G-P)11.5-1013-12.8
Aces1.65.7
Double faults2.95.5
1st serve %60.9%72.6%
Break %54.1%34.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lucia Bronzetti

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Irene Burillo Escorihuela
WTA Antalya · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
26/08 Polina Iatcenko
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
01/08 Laura Samsonova
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
31/07 Sara Sorribes Tormo
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-1 15-14 W
30/07 Alevtina Ibragimova
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
28/07 Miriana Tona
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
25/07 Fiona Ferro
WTA Palermo · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
24/07 Yasmine Kabbaj
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-1 14-9 W
23/07 Dalila Spiteri
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
21/07 Ilary Pistola
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Lois Boisson

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/09 Fiona Crawley
WTA Adana · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
26/09 Piraye Ozdemir
WTA Adana · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
13/09 Panna Udvardy
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
31/08 Emma Navarro
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 16-19 L
17/08 Diane Parry
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
13/08 Ashlyn Krueger
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
03/08 Antonia Ruzic
WTA Toronto · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
01/08 Emiliana Arango
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
30/06 Elena Rybakina
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 13-13 L
10/06 Solana Sierra
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
1-2 14-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lucia Bronzetti vs Lois Boisson?

Our model gives 52% to Lois Boisson, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.