Prediction: Polina Iatcenko vs Erika Andreeva
Team pages: Polina Iatcenko · Erika Andreeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Iatcenko
Erika Andreeva
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Iatcenko
5-5 (W-L)
Erika Andreeva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Iatcenko 1564 · Erika Andreeva 1470
| Polina Iatcenko | Erika Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polina Iatcenko (rating 1564 vs 1470).
- Polina Iatcenko is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Polina Iatcenko makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Polina Iatcenko | Erika Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.8 | 11.2-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Iatcenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Ksenia Zaytseva WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Renata Zarazua US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 27/08 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Lucia Bronzetti US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Julie Struplova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Claire Liu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Erika Andreeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Elena Micic WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Mariam Bolkvadze US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Mai Hontama W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Fiona Ferro WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mia Ristic WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Despina Papamichail WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Iatcenko vs Erika Andreeva?
Our model gives 61% to Polina Iatcenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.