Tennis · WTA Adana · 28/09, 10:30

Prediction: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Blinkova

Team pages: Emiliana Arango · Anna Blinkova

Prediction summary
Winner
31% 69%
Emiliana Arango Anna Blinkova
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Emiliana Arango 2-8 (W-L)
LLLWLLLWLL
Anna Blinkova 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Emiliana Arango 1465 · Anna Blinkova 1561
Emiliana ArangoAnna Blinkova
Our model37%63%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anna Blinkova (rating 1465 vs 1561).
  • Anna Blinkova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Emiliana Arango makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Emiliana ArangoAnna Blinkova
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.41.6-0.6
Games (G-P)10.3-11.111.9-7.5
Aces1.81.8
Double faults4.63.5
1st serve %61.6%66.5%
Break %47.6%54.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Emiliana Arango

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/09 Peyton Stearns
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
10/09 Carol Young Suh Lee
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
09/09 Maria Paulina Perez Garcia
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
30/08 Xinyu Wang
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
22/08 Panna Udvardy
WTA Monterrey · Hard
1-2 15-14 L
16/08 Iga Swiatek
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
14/08 Venus Williams
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
13/08 Nadia Podoroska
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
13/08 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
01/08 Lois Boisson
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 7-13 L

Anna Blinkova

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/09 Kaitlin Quevedo
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
1-2 14-14 L
18/09 Alina Charaeva
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
17/09 Vendula Valdmannova
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
16/09 Carol Young Suh Lee
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
12/09 Claire Liu
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
12/09 Elsa Jacquemot
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
11/09 Julia Riera
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
10/09 Nadia Podoroska
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
09/09 Valentina Mediorreal Arias
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
31/08 Anna Kalinskaya
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Emiliana Arango vs Anna Blinkova?

Our model gives 69% to Anna Blinkova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.