Tennis · Challenger Bari · 28/09, 10:00
Prediction: Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Pierluigi Basile
Team pages: Oleksandr Ovcharenko · Pierluigi Basile
Prediction summary
Winner
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Pierluigi Basile
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
5-5 (W-L)
Pierluigi Basile
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1548 · Pierluigi Basile 1531
| Oleksandr Ovcharenko | Pierluigi Basile | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Pierluigi Basile makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Oleksandr Ovcharenko | Pierluigi Basile | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.5 | 12-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 71% |
| Break % | 38% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Henry Bernet M25 Lausanne |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Felix Seres M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Arthur Laborde M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Pierluigi Basile
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 21/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/09 | Guillermo Tunas Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Adrian Oetzbach Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Roberto Perez Socas M25 Gijon |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 08/09 | David Aguiar Johansson M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Filippo Valdetara M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Pierluigi Basile?
Our model gives 55% to Pierluigi Basile, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.