Tennis · WTA Jingshan · 30/09, 04:00

Prediction: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang

Team pages: Amelia Rajecki · Yuhan Wang

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Amelia Rajecki Yuhan Wang
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Amelia Rajecki 9-1 (W-L)
WWLWWWWWWW
Yuhan Wang 7-3 (W-L)
LWLWLWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amelia Rajecki 1568 · Yuhan Wang 1551
Amelia RajeckiYuhan Wang
Our model52%48%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Amelia Rajecki dominates on serve: 7.8 aces and 42.9% break avg.
  • Note: Amelia Rajecki makes many double faults (5.8/match).

Statistics

Amelia RajeckiYuhan Wang
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 100% (6) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.81.4-0.8
Games (G-P)13.8-10.411.2-7.2
Aces7.80.8
Double faults5.83.6
1st serve %74%65.3%
Break %42.9%60.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amelia Rajecki

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/09 Chengyiyi Yuan
WTA Jingshan · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
26/09 Hiroko Kuwata
WTA Jingshan · Hard
2-1 13-8 W
23/09 Kurea Hayasaka
W50 Nanao
1-2 14-17 L
17/09 Sayaka Ishii
W35 Kyoto
1-2 16-19 L
16/09 Nagi Hanatani
W35 Kyoto
2-0 12-6 W
30/08 Maria Toma
W50 Leiria
1-2 15-16 L
09/08 Ella Mcdonald
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
07/08 Brooke Black
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-1 17-12 W
06/08 Hikaru Sato
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
05/08 Sayaka Ishii
W35 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Yuhan Wang

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/09 Anna Kubareva
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 17-16 L
26/09 Daria Khomutsianskaya
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
25/09 Yingqun Sun
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
24/09 Xiao Tang
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
23/09 Mariya Zharkikh
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
14/09 Chenting Zhu
W35 Shenyang
1-2 11-12 L
13/09 Kunwei Wang
W35 Shenyang
2-0 12-2 W
10/09 Yufei Ren
W50 Guiyang
0-2 8-12 L
09/09 Rina Saigo
W50 Guiyang
2-0 12-4 W
30/08 Kristiana Sidorova
W75 Tianjin
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang?

Our model gives 56% to Amelia Rajecki, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.