Tennis · M15 Telavi · 28/09, 08:00
Prediction: Nicola Rispoli vs Bogdan Seleznev
Team pages: Nicola Rispoli · Bogdan Seleznev
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicola Rispoli
Bogdan Seleznev
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Nicola Rispoli
6-4 (W-L)
Bogdan Seleznev
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicola Rispoli 1549 · Bogdan Seleznev 1469
| Nicola Rispoli | Bogdan Seleznev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicola Rispoli (rating 1549 vs 1469).
- Nicola Rispoli is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nicola Rispoli | Bogdan Seleznev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.1 | 8.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 58.4% |
| Break % | 57.9% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicola Rispoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Federico Bove M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/09 | Dragos Nicolae Madaras M15 Buzau |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Buzau |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Tudor Batin M15 Buzau |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Fermin Tenti M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/09 | Uladzimir Ignatik M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Ioan Alexandru Teglas M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Nico Hipfl M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Gioele Cerelli M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Bogdan Seleznev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Valentino Grippo M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Radimir Lutkovskii M15 Tsaghkadzor Qual · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 08/09 | Dmitry Bessonov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Yannick Castelnuovo M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Pavel Savelov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-12 | W |
| 27/07 | Arkhip Kozlov M15 Astana |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Mert Naci Turker M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Vladimir Osminkin M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Hryhorii Kartavenko M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicola Rispoli vs Bogdan Seleznev?
Our model gives 76% to Nicola Rispoli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.