Tennis · M15 Telavi · 28/09, 12:30
Prediction: Timofei Derepasko vs Matic Dimic
Team pages: Timofei Derepasko · Matic Dimic
Prediction summary
Winner
Timofei Derepasko
Matic Dimic
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Timofei Derepasko
7-3 (W-L)
Matic Dimic
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timofei Derepasko 1525 · Matic Dimic 1484
| Timofei Derepasko | Matic Dimic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Timofei Derepasko (rating 1525 vs 1484).
Statistics
| Timofei Derepasko | Matic Dimic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9 | 9.7-10 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 71% | 54.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timofei Derepasko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 15/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Stefan Storch Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Sam Ryan Ziegann Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/09 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Minhthien Nguyen Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/08 | Dimitar Kisimov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Alessandro Bellifemine M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Matic Dimic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Edouard Villoslada M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Peter Fajta M15 Budapest |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/09 | Lorenzo Beraldo M15 Budapest |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Gabriele Maria Piano M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 26/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Valeriy Martishev M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Vid Mohar UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timofei Derepasko vs Matic Dimic?
Our model gives 68% to Timofei Derepasko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.