Tennis · M15 Telavi · 28/09, 11:00
Prediction: Ruslan Tiukaev vs Stijn Paardekooper
Team pages: Stijn Paardekooper
Prediction summary
Winner
Ruslan Tiukaev
Stijn Paardekooper
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ruslan Tiukaev
8-2 (W-L)
Stijn Paardekooper
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ruslan Tiukaev 1562 · Stijn Paardekooper 1583
| Ruslan Tiukaev | Stijn Paardekooper | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ruslan Tiukaev makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Ruslan Tiukaev | Stijn Paardekooper | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.7 | 12.2-7.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 74.8% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 30.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ruslan Tiukaev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Zura Tkemaladze M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Roman Kharlamov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Avetik Ghazaryan M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Lorenzo Ferri M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Fermin Tenti M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/08 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Dmitry Bessonov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Kristian Vukovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Ognjen Milic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Stijn Paardekooper
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Denis Klok M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Pietro Ricci M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Facundo Yunis UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Marshall Tutu UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Jiri Jindacek UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Rafael Kis Balazs UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Achilles Belkovics UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Matej Sabanov UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 05/09 | Sander Jong M15 Haren |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ruslan Tiukaev vs Stijn Paardekooper?
Our model gives 57% to Stijn Paardekooper, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.