Tennis · Challenger Bari · 28/09, 10:00
Prediction: Imanol Lopez Morillo vs Adrian Oetzbach
Team pages: Imanol Lopez Morillo · Adrian Oetzbach
Prediction summary
Winner
Imanol Lopez Morillo
Adrian Oetzbach
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Imanol Lopez Morillo
4-6 (W-L)
Adrian Oetzbach
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Imanol Lopez Morillo
2–0
Adrian Oetzbach
(2 last)
- 01 May2-0 12-8W
- 30 Aug2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Imanol Lopez Morillo 1469 · Adrian Oetzbach 1519
| Imanol Lopez Morillo | Adrian Oetzbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrian Oetzbach (rating 1469 vs 1519).
- Adrian Oetzbach is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Imanol Lopez Morillo 2–0 Adrian Oetzbach (2).
Statistics
| Imanol Lopez Morillo | Adrian Oetzbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.9 | 11.1-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 55.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Imanol Lopez Morillo 2 – 0 Adrian Oetzbach (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Imanol Lopez Morillo 2–0 Adrian Oetzbach
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 M15 Oegstgeest | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08/25 M15 Allershausen | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Imanol Lopez Morillo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Filip Misolic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/08 | Carlos Sanchez Jover M25 Santander |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Carles Hernandez M25 Santander |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Nathan Walters M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Oliver Majdandzic M15 Trier |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Koszalin |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Adrian Oetzbach
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Riccardo Trione Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/09 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Eero Vasa M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/09 | Bruno Fernandez M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Lucio Ratti M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Marc Majdandzic M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Marcel Hornung M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Tim Handel M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Manuel Plunger M25 Ueberlingen |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Imanol Lopez Morillo vs Adrian Oetzbach?
Our model gives 55% to Adrian Oetzbach, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.